Where to buy to catch Auckland’s future housing value gains

Buying into areas targeted as public transport hubs of the future is the smart move to benefit from Auckland’s booming housing values, experts say.

The average Auckland home value has soared above $1 million for the first time, after Thursday’s release of new valuations by Auckland Council.

The council has confirmed a 46 per cent increase in its valuations for residential property across Auckland as a whole.

Andrew Bruce says if he bought an Auckland house today he would still be “reasonably confident” it will have gone up in value come 10 years’ time.

While there’s broad agreement the Auckland housing market has cooled over the last few months, values will continue to rise over the long term, real estate experts say.

Auckland Property Investors’ Association president Andrew Bruce said he personally looked at where transport infrastructure was going in.

The planned City Rail Link, in red, will decrease the time it takes to commute by train to downtown Auckland. Houses ...

The planned City Rail Link, in red, will decrease the time it takes to commute by train to downtown Auckland. Houses with good access to the rail network will see a bump in value, Andrew Bruce says.

The region was “a nightmare to get around” so anything that significantly reduced a commute would help prices.

The City Rail Link was likely to heavily reduce train times into the city, he said.

“That’s the sort of thing I’d be looking at, but it’s not going to be an immediate buy today, price rockets away tomorrow.”

The $35 million Manukau bus station is due for completion in 2018 and will improve public transport to the area.

 Better roads and public transport also opened up some suburbs to be more desirable.

Barfoot and Thompson director Peter Thompson said the Waterview Tunnel had made a “huge difference” to property prices in places like Blockhouse Bay and New Windsor.

But buyers needed to be aware planned projects might not happen. The East West Link had been mooted for a long time before the new Government recently scrapped it, he said.

Peter Thompson says the Waterview Tunnel has increased the value of homes that have a reduction in travel times.

“You’ve really got to wait until it is actually in for it to be a benefit.”

A fuel tax could also push up the value of homes close to public transport, he said.

Thompson said that in general, buying close to the city or near transport, jobs and shopping hubs like Manukau, Westgate and Ellerslie was a good idea.

It’s hard to judge in the short-term but house prices will still likely increase over time, Andrew Bruce said.

Bruce said it was hard to say when gains might be realised from infrastructure plans.

“People always think they get into these things too late, that it’s always better to buy yesterday,” he said.

Harcourts chief executive Chris Kennedy said most places would increase in value over the long term.

Chris Kennedy says a quick profit is more likely to be had in high-value suburbs. 

“On the other hand if you are looking for a faster turnaround with good growth, you will be better off buying in the areas of Auckland that are higher in value,” he said.

“Those areas will continue to grow. We are talking about areas such as Remuera, North Shore, Mt Eden.”

Homes with good decile schools, shops and services with good road access will continue to grow in value, he said.

Westgate has access to shops like Northwest shopping centre, and the Government is planning light rail into town.

 Apartments could also be a good option if they were well clad. “But make sure they’re freehold, for the best return.”

Bruce said that although the market appears to have plateaued and “I wouldn’t want to be leveraged to the eyeballs right now”, he still backed prices to increase over the next decade.

“Auckland is still a great place, because a lot more people are going to be coming,” he said.

Retrieved from Stuff.co.nz

https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/property/98826182/where-to-buy-to-catch-aucklands-future-housing-value-gains

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